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1Andrew
Keller originally presented the subject of this paper at the 1998 World
Bank Water Week Conference, 15 December 1998, Annapolis, Maryland, USA,
in a session on dams. The title of that presentation was "Water Scarcity
and the Role of Dams in Development." For this paper, we changed
the title, substituting the broader term "storage" for "dams,"
to reflect the importance of increasing storage, regardless of type, to
address water scarcity.
2Flow
to sinks is an economic as well as physical concept. Sometimes it can
be prevented, but at an unacceptably high cost.
3Structures
less than 15 m high and embankment volume less than 0.75 mcm.
4For
aquifers with specific storage capacities of 10%, a typical value, a 2-meter
decline in water level represents about 200 mm of actual water. Thus,
where groundwater levels are falling 2 m per year, extractions are exceeding
recharge by apprfoximately 200 mm per year.
5We
note that some have serious reservations about the validity of this sedimentation
figure. While we were unable to validate the number, we believe that if
correct, it is alarming and important to point out.
6Many
of the "unsafe" dams in the US were rendered so by changes in
the applicable design standardsespecially the switch to probable
maximum flood (PMF)for spillway capacity. In addition. many dams in the
US were built privately with less control of standards than is often the
case outside the US.
7We
believe this number is an anomaly of the reporting in the ICOLD dam registry
and that the percentage of multipurpose large dams is likely much greater
than 30.
8Based
on an allowable critical flow velocity in earthen channels of around 1m/s.
Lined sections may have twice this flow velocity. Where gradients are
shallow, such as in Egypt's Nile Delta, flow rates are much slower.
9Most
of the recently decommissioned dams in the United States are hydropower
dams, which, besides having adverse environmental Impacts, suffer from
dam safety and other issues and are not economical to repair or upgrade.
10HAD
statistics are from Gleick 1993 and the minor tank numbers are derived
from Sakthivadivel et al. 1997.
11Small
tanks (by definition) only submerge a few feet up the sides of a valleythe
rest is valley floor. Large dams flood a lot of non-valley floor area
that is usually less productive land.
12Note
that there are several large storage facilities in Sri Lanka.
13These
extremely low-cost dams are generally concrete arch or gravity dams. An
example of such a low-cost (US$1.00/1,000 m3) dam is the Kariba
Dam in Zambia and Zimbabwe, which resulted in one of the world's largest
reservoirs (by volume, right behind HAD's Lake Nasser). However, we note
that Kariba had high environmental and social costs associated with it,
which are not reflected in the dollar cost of the dam.(Kariba is a case
study of the International Commission on Dams.)
14The
Los Vaqueros Project was winner of the 1999 Outstanding Civil Engineering
Achievement award; largely because of the way it addressed environmental
concerns (Hunt 1999).
15Note
that the effect of sedimentation on total reservoir yield for reservoirs
with capacities two or more times their mean annual inflow is relatively
small compared to losses due to sedimentation in reservoirs with capacities
smaller than their mean annual inflow.
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